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PUBLICATION
This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.
JULY 2005 KEY POINTS
Trend
The July 2005 trend estimate (81,678) for the sales of new motor vehicles decreased 0.6% over the June 2005 estimate. It represents the fifth consecutive month of decline, however the trend estimate for July 2005 is 2.9% higher than the July 2004 estimate (79,356).
In July 2005, decreases were recorded in the trend estimate for sales of new passenger vehicles (-0.5%) and sport utility vehicles (-1.9%) compared with June 2005, while sales of other vehicles remained stable. Compared with July 2004, increases were recorded for sales of passenger vehicles (4.5%) and other vehicles (3.6%), however sales of sports utility vehicles decreased 2.9%.
Most states and territories recorded decreases in the trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles in July 2005 compared with June 2005. South Australia (-1.6%) and New South Wales (-1.4%) recorded the largest decreases, while the Northern Territory recorded the largest increase (0.8%) over the same period. When compared with July 2004, all states and territories excluding New South Wales and South Australia recorded increases in July 2005, with the Northern Territory (9.5%) and Queensland (8.5%) recording the largest increases.
Seasonally adjusted
The seasonally adjusted estimate for sales of new motor vehicles for July 2005 (82,114) recorded an increase (0.4%) over June 2005. When compared with July 2004 (78,279) the seasonally adjusted estimate increased 4.9%.
Increases were recorded in the seasonally adjusted sales of new passenger vehicles (0.5%) and sports utility vehicles (2.1%) in July 2005 compared with June 2005, while sales of other new motor vehicles decreased (-1.3%).
Most states and territories recorded decreases in the seasonally adjusted estimates for sales of new motor vehicles in July 2005 compared with June 2005. Tasmania (-8.1%) and the Northern Territory (-4.7%) recorded the largest decreases, while the Australian Capital Territory (6.8%) and Western Australia (4.4%) recorded the largest increases.
Sales Of New Motor Vehicles, July 2005
| NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. |
Vehicle Sales
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Seasonally Adjusted | 25,285 | 21,252 | 18,378 | 5,137 | 8,317 | 1,642 | 825 | 1,278 | 82,114 |
Trend | 24,939 | 21,202 | 18,481 | 5,215 | 8,122 | 1,675 | 832 | 1,212 | 81,678 |
Percentage Change From Previous Month
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| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally Adjusted | 1.9 | -0.4 | -1.1 | -2.3 | 4.4 | -8.1 | -4.7 | 6.8 | 0.4 |
Trend | -1.4 | -0.3 | 0.1 | -1.6 | -0.0 | -0.7 | 0.8 | -1.2 | -0.6 |
Percentage Change From Previous Year
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| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally Adjusted | 0.4 | 7.5 | 6.9 | 0.7 | 9.9 | 3.6 | 21.0 | 6.9 | 4.9 |
Trend | -1.5 | 3.4 | 8.5 | -1.0 | 6.4 | 0.9 | 9.5 | 1.5 | 2.9 |
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(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.
NOTES
TREND REVISIONS
Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.
The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.
1 | The August 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the July 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.8%. |
2 | The August 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the July 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.8%. |
The percentage change of 3.8% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.8%.
SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES
Table 1: New Motor Vehicle Sales
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| | Passenger vehicles (No.) | Sports utility vehicles (No.) | Other vehicles (No.) | Total vehicles (No.) | Change passenger vehicles (%) | Change sports utility vehicles (%) | Change other vehicles (%) | Change total vehicles (%) |
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Original |
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2004 | May | 46,168 | 15,052 | 17,059 | 78,279 | 4.7 | 21.9 | 14.7 | 9.8 |
| June | 58,284 | 17,981 | 20,947 | 97,212 | 26.2 | 19.5 | 22.8 | 24.2 |
| July | 46,724 | 14,442 | 15,869 | 77,035 | -19.8 | -19.7 | -24.2 | -20.8 |
| August | 48,649 | 14,910 | 15,685 | 79,244 | 4.1 | 3.2 | -1.2 | 2.9 |
| September | 49,911 | 14,715 | 15,826 | 80,452 | 2.6 | -1.3 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| October | 52,290 | 13,907 | 15,470 | 81,667 | 4.8 | -5.5 | -2.2 | 1.5 |
| November | 52,888 | 15,257 | 16,190 | 84,335 | 1.1 | 9.7 | 4.7 | 3.3 |
| December | 48,673 | 14,311 | 15,996 | 78,980 | -8.0 | -6.2 | -1.2 | -6.3 |
| | | | | | | | | |
2005 | January | 43,075 | 13,826 | 12,664 | 69,565 | -11.5 | -3.4 | -20.8 | -11.9 |
| February | 50,645 | 15,478 | 14,886 | 81,009 | 17.6 | 11.9 | 17.5 | 16.5 |
| March | 53,280 | 17,348 | 15,798 | 86,426 | 5.2 | 12.1 | 6.1 | 6.7 |
| April | 46,645 | 13,749 | 15,936 | 76,330 | -12.5 | -20.7 | 0.9 | -11.7 |
| May | 50,420 | 15,329 | 17,981 | 83,730 | 8.1 | 11.5 | 12.8 | 9.7 |
| June | 60,720 | 18,229 | 22,958 | 101,907 | 20.4 | 18.9 | 27.7 | 21.7 |
| July | 48,931 | 13,716 | 15,652 | 78,299 | -19.4 | -24.8 | -31.8 | -23.2 |
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Seasonally Adjusted |
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2004 | May | 47,831 | 14,659 | 15,983 | 78,473 | -1.4 | 9.0 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| June | 49,247 | 14,460 | 15,523 | 79,230 | 3.0 | -1.4 | -2.9 | 1.0 |
| July | 47,483 | 14,742 | 16,054 | 78,279 | -3.6 | 2.0 | 3.4 | -1.2 |
| August | 48,396 | 14,946 | 15,891 | 79,233 | 1.9 | 1.4 | -1.0 | 1.2 |
| September | 50,012 | 15,219 | 16,205 | 81,436 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.8 |
| October | 51,650 | 15,429 | 16,450 | 83,529 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.6 |
| November | 50,121 | 15,045 | 15,793 | 80,959 | -3.0 | -2.5 | -4.0 | -3.1 |
| December | 48,006 | 14,378 | 16,109 | 78,493 | -4.2 | -4.4 | 2.0 | -3.0 |
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2005 | January | 52,429 | 15,933 | 17,018 | 85,380 | 9.2 | 10.8 | 5.6 | 8.8 |
| February | 52,627 | 16,205 | 16,085 | 84,917 | 0.4 | 1.7 | -5.5 | -0.5 |
| March | 50,281 | 15,831 | 15,604 | 81,716 | -4.5 | -2.3 | -3.0 | -3.8 |
| April | 51,230 | 14,995 | 16,860 | 83,085 | 1.9 | -5.3 | 8.0 | 1.7 |
| May | 51,138 | 14,553 | 16,529 | 82,220 | -0.2 | -2.9 | -2.0 | -1.0 |
| June | 50,906 | 14,314 | 16,583 | 81,803 | -0.5 | -1.6 | 0.3 | -0.5 |
| July | 51,136 | 14,617 | 16,361 | 82,114 | 0.5 | 2.1 | -1.3 | 0.4 |
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Trend |
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2004 | May | 48,338 | 14,134 | 15,963 | 78,435 | -0.3 | 2.0 | -0.2 | 0.2 |
| June | 48,400 | 14,473 | 15,932 | 78,805 | 0.1 | 2.4 | -0.2 | 0.5 |
| July | 48,660 | 14,775 | 15,921 | 79,356 | 0.5 | 2.1 | -0.1 | 0.7 |
| August | 49,019 | 14,975 | 15,968 | 79,962 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| September | 49,473 | 15,087 | 16,078 | 80,638 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| October | 49,952 | 15,202 | 16,176 | 81,330 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| November | 50,388 | 15,365 | 16,229 | 81,982 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| December | 50,750 | 15,546 | 16,250 | 82,546 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 |
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2005 | January | 51,012 | 15,657 | 16,263 | 82,932 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 |
| February | 51,148 | 15,639 | 16,293 | 83,080 | 0.3 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| March | 51,236 | 15,475 | 16,340 | 83,051 | 0.2 | -1.0 | 0.3 | -0.0 |
| April | 51,255 | 15,205 | 16,394 | 82,854 | 0.0 | -1.7 | 0.3 | -0.2 |
| May | 51,179 | 14,895 | 16,442 | 82,516 | -0.1 | -2.0 | 0.3 | -0.4 |
| June | 51,103 | 14,614 | 16,480 | 82,197 | -0.1 | -1.9 | 0.2 | -0.4 |
| July | 50,849 | 14,341 | 16,488 | 81,678 | -0.5 | -1.9 | 0.0 | -0.6 |
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Table 2: New Motor Vehicle Sales by State/Territory of Registration
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| | NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. |
| | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) |
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Original |
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2004 | May | 25,649 | 20,106 | 16,373 | 5,215 | 7,296 | 1,513 | 918 | 1,209 | 78,279 |
| June | 31,438 | 23,929 | 22,026 | 6,436 | 8,969 | 1,982 | 958 | 1,474 | 97,212 |
| July | 25,031 | 19,410 | 17,141 | 4,949 | 7,228 | 1,449 | 646 | 1,181 | 77,035 |
| August | 24,795 | 20,850 | 17,269 | 5,414 | 7,513 | 1,585 | 677 | 1,141 | 79,244 |
| September | 25,241 | 20,821 | 17,188 | 5,289 | 8,177 | 1,855 | 739 | 1,142 | 80,452 |
| October | 25,621 | 22,747 | 16,079 | 5,413 | 7,875 | 1,981 | 709 | 1,242 | 81,667 |
| November | 26,619 | 23,052 | 17,117 | 5,450 | 8,157 | 1,944 | 694 | 1,302 | 84,335 |
| December | 24,315 | 21,700 | 16,537 | 4,998 | 7,341 | 2,245 | 647 | 1,197 | 78,980 |
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2005 | January | 22,467 | 18,015 | 14,530 | 4,466 | 6,931 | 1,478 | 560 | 1,118 | 69,565 |
| February | 25,754 | 20,580 | 17,837 | 5,489 | 7,880 | 1,431 | 776 | 1,262 | 81,009 |
| March | 27,474 | 21,963 | 19,114 | 5,452 | 8,623 | 1,571 | 888 | 1,341 | 86,426 |
| April | 24,329 | 19,497 | 16,789 | 5,034 | 7,329 | 1,371 | 858 | 1,123 | 76,330 |
| May | 26,204 | 21,882 | 18,221 | 5,534 | 8,066 | 1,639 | 912 | 1,272 | 83,730 |
| June | 30,695 | 25,402 | 24,613 | 6,561 | 9,986 | 2,052 | 1,183 | 1,415 | 101,907 |
| July | 24,905 | 19,923 | 17,559 | 4,794 | 7,684 | 1,435 | 764 | 1,235 | 78,299 |
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Seasonally Adjusted |
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2004 | May | 25,251 | 20,332 | 16,640 | 5,208 | 7,512 | 1,527 | 789 | 1,214 | 78,473 |
| June | 25,519 | 20,484 | 16,980 | 5,245 | 7,244 | 1,818 | 718 | 1,222 | 79,230 |
| July | 25,188 | 19,778 | 17,184 | 5,100 | 7,567 | 1,585 | 682 | 1,195 | 78,279 |
| August | 25,109 | 20,676 | 17,075 | 5,326 | 7,640 | 1,546 | 735 | 1,126 | 79,233 |
| September | 25,633 | 20,914 | 17,267 | 5,408 | 8,415 | 1,773 | 809 | 1,217 | 81,436 |
| October | 25,913 | 22,817 | 17,304 | 5,649 | 7,891 | 1,937 | 764 | 1,254 | 83,529 |
| November | 25,641 | 21,437 | 16,975 | 5,252 | 8,027 | 1,680 | 708 | 1,239 | 80,959 |
| December | 25,153 | 21,063 | 16,849 | 4,740 | 7,153 | 1,673 | 703 | 1,159 | 78,493 |
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2005 | January | 27,219 | 22,315 | 17,975 | 5,605 | 8,352 | 1,847 | 742 | 1,325 | 85,380 |
| February | 27,144 | 21,686 | 18,421 | 5,614 | 8,123 | 1,721 | 862 | 1,346 | 84,917 |
| March | 26,162 | 21,030 | 17,564 | 5,352 | 7,719 | 1,749 | 783 | 1,357 | 81,716 |
| April | 25,993 | 21,266 | 18,580 | 5,439 | 8,259 | 1,626 | 780 | 1,142 | 83,085 |
| May | 25,342 | 21,430 | 18,299 | 5,412 | 8,058 | 1,664 | 792 | 1,223 | 82,220 |
| June | 24,807 | 21,339 | 18,586 | 5,258 | 7,963 | 1,787 | 866 | 1,197 | 81,803 |
| July | 25,285 | 21,252 | 18,378 | 5,137 | 8,317 | 1,642 | 825 | 1,278 | 82,114 |
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Trend |
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2004 | May | 25,334 | 20,285 | 16,781 | 5,172 | 7,339 | 1,566 | 762 | 1,196 | 78,435 |
| June | 25,296 | 20,328 | 16,925 | 5,215 | 7,471 | 1,614 | 761 | 1,195 | 78,805 |
| July | 25,307 | 20,505 | 17,032 | 5,268 | 7,630 | 1,660 | 760 | 1,194 | 79,356 |
| August | 25,337 | 20,796 | 17,092 | 5,313 | 7,775 | 1,701 | 754 | 1,194 | 79,962 |
| September | 25,436 | 21,158 | 17,132 | 5,342 | 7,894 | 1,731 | 748 | 1,197 | 80,638 |
| October | 25,627 | 21,499 | 17,168 | 5,362 | 7,965 | 1,752 | 745 | 1,212 | 81,330 |
| November | 25,896 | 21,725 | 17,247 | 5,375 | 7,988 | 1,767 | 746 | 1,238 | 81,982 |
| December | 26,197 | 21,782 | 17,404 | 5,391 | 7,989 | 1,768 | 750 | 1,265 | 82,546 |
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2005 | January | 26,409 | 21,700 | 17,632 | 5,413 | 7,982 | 1,755 | 759 | 1,282 | 82,932 |
| February | 26,431 | 21,553 | 17,885 | 5,430 | 7,994 | 1,731 | 774 | 1,282 | 83,080 |
| March | 26,264 | 21,434 | 18,110 | 5,437 | 8,027 | 1,715 | 792 | 1,272 | 83,051 |
| April | 25,963 | 21,372 | 18,277 | 5,415 | 8,061 | 1,705 | 806 | 1,255 | 82,854 |
| May | 25,608 | 21,317 | 18,389 | 5,363 | 8,088 | 1,696 | 817 | 1,238 | 82,516 |
| June | 25,288 | 21,276 | 18,470 | 5,301 | 8,123 | 1,687 | 825 | 1,227 | 82,197 |
| July | 24,939 | 21,202 | 18,481 | 5,215 | 8,122 | 1,675 | 832 | 1,212 | 81,678 |
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(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes. |
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